Apr 122015
 

barry-horowitz

By Lane Myer

So how’d we do?

For reference, here’s what we said for our pre-season picks back in issue #1. Looks pretty good on the surface, but let’s take a closer look…

TTMI Top 10 Undervalued

* With this group we were mainly looking at mid-round ADP players, meaning those with an ADP of 90 or higher.

1. Patric Hornqvist if it weren’t for injuries would likely have been a top 25 fantasy player this year. At the All-Star break he was ranked #17 overall in standard sized leagues. Even though Hornqvist ended up missing 18 games, he still outperformed his ADP of 96 and finished the season at #66 overall. +1

2. Radim Vrbata had an ADP of 138 and with 31 goals and 63 points (23 on the PP) ended the season at #28 overall. Amazingly, he was taken off the Sedin line for the majority of the final 6 or so weeks otherwise he probably would have been a top 20 fantasy player. Big win here. +1 Continue reading »

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Jan 052015
 

ToTheCloud_TheLeague

The Week Ahead: Jan 5 – Jan 11

4 Game slates: CHI, MIN, SJ, WINN
3 Game slates: ARI, BOS, BUF, CAL, CAR, COL, CLB, DAL, DET, EDM, FLA, NASH, NJ, NYI, NYR, OTT, PHI, STL, VAN, WASH
2 Game slates: ANA, LA, MON, PIT, TB, TOR
Back to Back games: BOS, BUF, CAL, CHI, CLB, DET, FLA, MIN, NJ, NYI, NYR, SJ, WASH, WINN

By Lane Myer

As we foreshadowed two weeks ago, here is our maiden entry in the keeper or dynasty league sphere. We’ve ranked the top 50 players 25 years old or younger to perhaps use as a guide for those of you in keeper or dynasty leagues that will be undergoing a rebuild, or continuing to rebuild your roster for the forthcoming seasons.

If you’re a hardcore fantasy baseball player, you may be aware of the 500 inning plateau for young starting pitchers. Meaning that around 500 innings banked at the major league level, you begin to see what a starter is capable of…on average.   Data fluctuates a bit more wildly for hockey, but among NHL level defensemen, you start to see a similar maturation around their third to fourth and into their fifth professional season. This can be seen in Hawkland with Duncan Keith who was a 30 point player in his third year. He then jumped to a 44 point player in his fourth season and then soared to an elite level in his fifth year when he recorded 69 points en route to his first Norris Trophy. It was also true for Brian Campbell who rose to a 62 point season in his fifth full season.

With forwards the data is a little trickier. Some data suggests a forward peaks at 25, while some believe it’s anywhere from age 22 to 25. This is primarily why we’re keeping our requirements at age 25. Obviously this will vary wildly in terms of age range. Max Pacioretty broke out in his fourth year, but in those previous three seasons, he accrued essentially a season and a half’s worth of games. Then you look at a guy like Joe Pavelski who spent his first seven seasons becoming a prototypical second line center only to break out as an elite level first line scorer at age 29. Continue reading »

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Oct 032014
 

TheLeagueFX

Today we’re launching a new feature on the site – Fantasy Chatter.

That’s a working title. It’s what I could come up with at 3am on a Friday. This is an idea that’s been tossed around and has a few years of rust over it. But two year’s too late is how I’ve operated most of my life. Better late than never, though. At least here.

With the start of the NHL season less than a week away, we know a lot of folks have fantasy drafts right around the corner. Even if you’ve already picked your team, fantasy vets know it’s the roster moves you make along the way that separates the pretenders from the contenders.

So with that I’ve enlisted Lane Myer, who has been putting me to shame in our various TTMI Fantasy Hockey Leagues over five seasons now. Lane has emailed me after a live draft, mocking some of my prized selections. He’s lived to tell about it (because we’ve never physically met) and has now even parlayed that into a weekly space here on the site. And hopefully it will be both insightful and beneficial to our readers, whether you’re a fantasy player or not. I’m excited about this feature and the potential it brings to involve more ongoing statistical analysis and player prospectus on the site.

Before I turn it over to Lane, I do want to make mention that we have still have a few spots open in a TTMI league we are Live Drafting this Monday night at 9pm. If you’re interested, contact me at ChrisBlock@TheThirdManIn.com – we’d be glad to have you aboard and you can shame me too. –Chris Block

Note: Part two of this week’s Fantasy Chatter, Hawk Factors and Goalie Wars, will reveal here at noon Friday 10/3.

———————-

By Lane Myer

For a brief introduction, I’m Lane, and Chris has asked me if I wouldn’t possibly maybe mind writing a weekly fantasy hockey column for TTMI.  All you need to know is that I’m no expert but I do have a pretty good track record.   Probably luck, but if Block wants to point out that my current 87% Yahoo League performance rating is way better than yours – that’s ok, I guess.  I’m basically just the only guy who didn’t say no. Largely because the pay is decent.

This first post will not be a typical TTMI fantasy article.  They will not be this long in the future.   Continue reading »

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